Prevalence of Schizophrenia:
The global prevalence of schizophrenia:
There is no doubt that the global burden of schizophrenia, a chronic serious mental illness, is massive. It is therefore essential that any intervention is appropriate, cost-effective, and efficacious. The prevalence rates of schizophrenia depend upon a whole range of factors, such as the availability of and response to treatment. The prevalence of schizophrenia, as with other mental disorders, can be calculated from a number of sources—from case registers to field surveys. The latter lend themselves more readily to estimation of period prevalence than point prevalence, while case register data can provide point prevalence more readily. The denominator can be the whole population or only a small defined population. Saha et al. quite rightly differentiate between traditional prevalence, or “core”, studies (these generate an estimate based on the population residing within a defined catchment area), and studies in specific sub-groups (which they divide into migrant studies and studies in other special groups). Using sequential filters they were able to isolate discrete data from multiple studies, and they used other strategies to ensure that the largest groups were counted. The authors had hypothesised that prevalence estimates would differ between lifetime, period, and point prevalence and that lifetime prevalence would be higher than lifetime estimates (estimates are calculated as a proportion by dividing the total number of individuals who manifest a disorder [the numerator] by the total population at risk including those with the disorder [the denominator]). They also predicted that the estimates would be higher for males, those from urban areas, and migrants. Case ascertainment methods and sample selection do influence prevalence rates, so Saha et al. chose studies that used comprehensive case ascertainment methods. Of the 132 core studies, 21 studies reported point prevalence, 34 reported period prevalence, and 24 reported lifetime prevalence. The median prevalence of schizophrenia was 4.6/1,000 for point prevalence, 3.3/1,000 for period prevalence, 4.0 for lifetime prevalence, and 7.2 for lifetime morbid risk.
Point prevalence: The proportion of individuals who manifest a disorder at a given point in time.
Period prevalence: The proportion of individuals who manifest a disorder over a specific period of time (e.g., over one year).
Lifetime prevalence: The proportion of individuals in the population who have ever manifested a disorder, who are alive on a given day.
Lifetime morbid risk: The probability of a person developing the disorder during a specified period of their life or up to a specified age (lifetime morbid risk differs from lifetime prevalence in that it attempts to include the entire lifetime of a birth cohort both past and future, and includes those deceased at the time of the survey).
There were no significant differences between males and females, nor between urban, rural, and mixed sites, although migrants and homeless people had higher rates of schizophrenia and, not surprisingly, developing countries had lower prevalence rates (the lower prevalence of schizophrenia in developing countries has been previously documented). It is well known from other studies that migrants have higher than expected rates of schizophrenia, although definitions of migrants in these studies have been variable and the studies have suffered from a series of other methodological problems.
Several important findings emerge from Saha and colleagues' analysis. For clinicians, the analysis indicates clearly that lifetime prevalence is 4.0/1,000 and not 1%, as reported in the Diagnostic and Statistic Manual of Mental Disorders, fourth edition, and other textbooks. The study also challenges the widely held view that schizophrenia is much more common in men. Saha et al.'s finding that schizophrenia was just as common in women has clear implications for developing services, since it means that not only must we develop and provide culturally appropriate services but also services that are gender sensitive (as the number of cases in women are higher than expected, gender becomes a more important factor).
Detailed economic measures must be included in analyses of the prevalence of schizophrenia to determine whether countries are developed or developing. Saha et al. themselves acknowledge that they have used a single measure of World Bank definitions relying on per capita income (whereas in any country there will be marked geographical variation in social and economic classes) for assessing a complex and multi-dimensional concept, which is a weak point of their systematic review. The impact of urbanization must be studied especially, as in many developing or low-income countries the migration into urban areas adds a tremendous amount of variation that must be taken into account in future ecological studies.
Schizophrenia across Cultures:
Studies have shown that the outcome of schizophrenia is better in developing countries, and therefore the point prevalence in these countries should be lower. Despite this clear difference in the course of schizophrenia in different cultures, cross-cultural research in psychiatry focuses on similarities rather than differences.
In the International Pilot Study of Schizophrenia and the Determinants of Outcome of Severe Mental Disorders study , catatonia (a form of schizophrenia characterized by a tendency to remain in a fixed stuporous state for long periods) was diagnosed in 10% of cases in developing countries compared with less than 1% in developed countries. Hebephrenia (a form of schizophrenia characterized by severe disintegration of personality) was present in 13% of cases in developed countries and 4% in developing countries. These differences in the disease in developed versus developing countries indicate that there is more to the prevalence of schizophrenia than simple epidemiological data. Better prognosis in developing countries may indicate different sets of etiological and perpetuating factors.
Cohen argued that although the case-finding method in both these studies was accurate, the vast majority of cases were identified in Western-type facilities, and therefore the numbers of true cases of schizophrenia may be an underestimate. He also pointed out that in developing countries the proportion of cases with acute onset schizophrenia was twice as high as in developed countries. Such variations may indicate a real difference in the cross-cultural manifestations of schizophrenia—hospital-based data collection reflects cultural processes that have little to do with the true prevalence and incidence rates of schizophrenia.
While prevalence studies can help contribute to an understanding of the etiology of schizophrenia, psychodynamic issues—such as cultural identity and attachment—must also be studied, especially among migrant groups, as cultural congruity and ethnic density may influence the presentation of suffering individuals to psychiatric services.
The Prevalance Rate for schizophrenia is approximately 1.1% of the population over the age of 18 (source: NIMH) or, in other words, at any one time as many as 51 million people worldwide suffer from schizophrenia, including;
- 6 to 12 million people in China (a rough estimate based on the population)
- 4.3 to 8.7 million people in India (a rough estimate based on the population)
- 2.2 million people in USA 285,000 people in Australia
- Over 280,000 people in Canada Over 250,000 diagnosed cases in britian.
Global Schizophrenia Prevalence May Have Been Overstated:
Although previous studies have led to the common wisdom that schizophrenia affects 1 out of every 100 individuals, new data indicate that this prevalence may be too high.
Schizophrenia may not be as prevalent as generally believed, according to a review of a whopping amount of data from 46 countries.
The study that arrived at this conclusion was conducted by John McGrath, M.D., a professor of psychiatry at the University of Queensland in Australia, and coworkers. Results were published in the May Public Library of Science Medicine.
McGrath and his colleagues systematically reviewed the medical literature on schizophrenia prevalence—that is, the number of people experiencing the illness at a given time or within a time interval—in hopes of coming up with firm figures regarding such prevalence.
This meant that they analyzed 188 studies conducted in 46 countries and published between 1965 and 2002.
For those studies that reported on lifetime prevalence, the mean lifetime prevalence of schizophrenia (the proportion of individuals in the population who have ever manifested the illness and who are alive on a given day) was 4 per 1,000. DSM-IV-TR states that the lifetime prevalence of schizophrenia is often reported to be 5 to15 per 1,000. For those studies that reported on point prevalence of schizophrenia, the mean point prevalence was 4.6 per 1,000. Key policy documents have estimated the point prevalence of schizophrenia to be similar, about 4 per 1,000.
They likewise learned that the lifetime morbid risk of schizophrenia was 7 per 1,000. This estimate corresponds to findings from two other review studies. Moreover, it raises questions about the statement that people often make that "schizophrenia affects about one person in 100," McGrath and his coworkers pointed out in their report, because the statement is usually based on lifetime morbid risk figures. "If we wish to provide the general public with a measure of the likelihood that individuals will develop schizophrenia during their lifetime, then a more accurate statement would be that `about seven to eight individuals per 1,000 will be affected.
'" The researchers concluded, "While there is substantial variation between sites, generally the prevalence of schizophrenia ranges from 4 to 7 per 1,000 persons, depending on the type of prevalence estimate used." The review also suggests, in keeping with some previous studies, that schizophrenia is more prevalent in migrant groups than in native-born populations, adding weight to the argument that migrant status is an important risk factor for the illness.
Yet contrary to some previous findings, the review implies that schizophrenia is about as prevalent among women as among men and that it is not more widespread in urban areas than in rural ones. However, another recent study tends to bolster their gender-related findings: it found a greater prevalence of schizophrenia among females than among males in china.